Arizona Cardinals: Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins Take Wilson, Lockett, and Metcalf and bring it back with Amari Cooper and hope the game meets expectations. But in terms of fantasy sports and playing the percentages, this is an awesome spot to stack. The Cowboys might end up feeding Ezekiel Elliott too much rendering this game a bit of a mudfest. Wilson likes to spread the ball around and any given week it could be a different receiver or running back that benefits from a revived offense. So is there any good reason to avoid this game stack? Sure. With the prices being affordable, there are no red flags here. The ownership on all three is hovering around 15% right now, but we can reasonably expect that to jump to around 20% towards Sunday afternoon. ![]() Russell is projected for 24.98 fantasy points, while Lockett is projected for 25.97 and Metcalf at 20.20. The game total and team total are the highest on the slate, and their opponent (The Cowboys) have the firepower to make it a competitive game. DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett are averaging 19.35 and 18.45 fantasy points per game, respectively, and neither of them is too expensive to stomach. Russell Wilson has nine touchdowns and just one interception, is averaging 305 passing yards per game, and is good for 41 fantasy points per game now that the Seahawks are more pass heavy this year (69% neutral passing rate) and his wide receivers are benefitting nicely as well. You really don’t have to overthink this spot on the slate and there’s no reason to avoid it for ownership reasons either, so let’s talk about how awesome the Seahawks offense has been to start the year. Three key stacks Seattle Seahawks: Russell Wilson, Tyler Lockett, and DK Metcalf ![]() My expected touchdown model takes into account league average rushing and receiving touchdown production from all points of the field and normalizes player rate to produce how many touchdowns we should expect based on what they should have accomplished.Īll in all, The data here tries to look forward and get an idea of the best spots to attack. Likewise, using predictive stats rather than descriptive ones is imperative to success in this field, and expected touchdown rates matter a lot to me since they are such a large part of fantasy football and swing a significant portion of winnings. Using a model that creates a range of outcomes rather than a single median projection is much more applicable to sports and is something that I encourage any stats or analytics nerd to pursue, and it’ll be the basis of a lot of the decisions I make here. Of those models, I’ll be looking at things like a range of outcomes dataset, expected touchdown rates, as well as aggregated yardage calculations which pull together a lot of predictive info to create more manageable statistics about every player in the league. The majority of the information that I’m going to be using in these articles is based on freely available information that you can find yourself, but there will also be information and data that is pulled from the models at my daily fantasy sports site which look to use predictive algorithms to find valuable info in important stats. Hopefully you find this info valuable no matter your skill level and we can find consistent success through the season! Models and disclaimer ![]() There will be three additions to each area as we look to give you the best preparation for the week ahead. Welcome to the NFL Big Three! This article is going to look at the NFL daily fantasy sports main slate and go over three different areas: Stacks, important players, and value pieces.
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